StatSheet Projects Middle Tennessee State as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 12 Seed: 03/11/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 11th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Middle Tennessee State as an NCAA Tournament bubble team with a possible 12 seed. The Blue Raiders are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #33 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 28-5 overall record and a 19-1 record in the Sun Belt.

During the last four games, Middle Tennessee State held its own with wins against Louisiana, Western Kentucky, and Troy but also stumbled with a bad loss to RPI #125 Florida International.

Middle Tennessee State has a 2-3 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 0-2 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Blue Raiders have no quality wins, they're weighed down by two bad losses including RPI #125 Florida International and RPI #158 Arkansas State.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Baylor (18-13, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #60), Temple (23-8, 11-5 A-10, StatRank #37), Ole Miss (23-8, 12-6 SEC, StatRank #56), and Colorado (20-10, 10-8 Pac-12, StatRank #36).

The first four teams out are Alabama (20-11, 12-6 SEC, StatRank #65), La Salle (21-8, 11-5 A-10, StatRank #46), Southern Miss (23-8, 12-4 Conference USA, StatRank #47), and Virginia (21-10, 11-7 ACC, StatRank #60).

The next four out are California (20-10, 12-6 Pac-12, StatRank #46), Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten, StatRank #72), Providence (17-13, 9-9 Big East, StatRank #83), and Wichita State (26-8, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #42).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Georgetown
#3Florida
#4New Mexico
#5Colorado State
#6Arizona
#7Butler
#8Belmont
#9Creighton
#10Cincinnati
#11Boise State
#12Colorado
#13Akron
#14Davidson
#15FGCU
#16FIU
#17Liberty
Regional 2
#1Gonzaga
#2Louisville
#3Kansas State
#4Ohio State
#5Minnesota
#6NC State
#7Missouri
#8Memphis
#9Illinois
#10Iowa State
#11Kentucky
#12MTSU
#13Baylor
#14SDSU
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17Long Island
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Marquette
#4Oklahoma State
#5North Carolina
#6Saint Louis
#7UNLV
#8Oklahoma
#9San Diego State
#10Oregon
#11Tennessee
#12Ole Miss
#13Bucknell
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Iona
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Kansas
#2Michigan
#3Michigan State
#4Syracuse
#5Pittsburgh
#6Wisconsin
#7Notre Dame
#8VCU
#9UCLA
#10Saint Mary's
#11Villanova
#12Temple
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Valparaiso
#15Montana
#16Vermont
#17Texas Southern

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
Pac-124 1233.3%
A-104 1428.6%
ACC4 1233.3%
West Coast2 922.2%
Sun Belt2 1216.7%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Patriot1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
Big West1 911.1%
NEC1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
Conference USA1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%

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Season Preview: MTSU is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Conference USA Standings

OverallConf
1 Southern Miss 29-7 13-3
1 Louisiana Tech 29-8 13-3
 1MTSU 24-9 13-3
1 Tulsa 21-13 13-3
5 Texas-El Paso 23-11 12-4
6 Old Dominion 18-18 9-7
7 Tulane 17-17 8-8
8 UAB 18-13 7-9
8 Charlotte 17-14 7-9
8 FIU 15-16 7-9
11 North Texas 16-16 6-10
12 East Carolina 17-17 5-11
12 FAU 10-22 5-11
14 Marshall 11-22 4-12
14 UTSA 8-22 4-12
16 Rice 7-23 2-14
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

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#5 Jacob Ivory Fr G 5-9 165
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