StatSheet Projects Middle Tennessee State as NCAA Tournament 11 Seed: 02/08/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 8th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting Middle Tennessee State to be an 11 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Blue Raiders are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, but they won't need to win their conference tournament as they're unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #33 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 21-4 overall record and a 13-1 record in the Sun Belt.

Over the last four games, Middle Tennessee State looked strong with wins against Arkansas State, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, and Western Kentucky.

Middle Tennessee State has a 2-3 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-2 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Blue Raiders have a single quality win against RPI #50 Ole Miss, they're also dinged with a bad loss to RPI #183 Arkansas State.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Stanford (14-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #62), Florida State (13-9, 5-4 ACC, StatRank #59), Southern Miss (18-5, 7-1 C-USA, StatRank #43), and Wichita State (19-5, 8-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #37).

The first four teams out are California (13-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #76), Rutgers (12-9, 3-7 Big East, StatRank #72), Saint Mary's (20-4, 9-1 West Coast, StatRank #47), and Virginia Commonwealth (18-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #48).

The next four out are Brigham Young (18-7, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #47), Saint Louis (17-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #58), Texas A&M (14-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #74), and Villanova (14-9, 5-5 Big East, StatRank #67).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Cincinnati
#5Butler
#6Marquette
#7Colorado
#8Illinois
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Arizona State
#12Maryland
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17UNCA
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5Georgetown
#6Missouri
#7Colorado State
#8Iowa State
#9Ole Miss
#10La Salle
#11Baylor
#12St. John's
#13Florida State
#14SDSU
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17SOU
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Michigan State
#4Minnesota
#5New Mexico
#6Notre Dame
#7Creighton
#8North Carolina
#9UCLA
#10UNLV
#11Memphis
#12Southern Miss
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Niagara
#17Bryant
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4Oregon
#5Oklahoma State
#6Pittsburgh
#7NC State
#8Oklahoma
#9Wisconsin
#10San Diego State
#11MTSU
#12Wichita State
#13Stanford
#14Stony Brook
#15Valparaiso
#16Northeastern
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
SEC4 1233.3%
Mountain West4 850.0%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
MAC1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Updated: Middle Tennessee State (1-0) Takes On Mu...Middle Tennessee State Blown Out by Murray State 6...Murray State vs Middle Tennessee State: Recap Note...Murray State vs Middle Tennessee State: Boxscore



Season Preview: MTSU is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Conference USA Standings

OverallConf
1 Southern Miss 29-7 13-3
1 Louisiana Tech 29-8 13-3
 1MTSU 24-9 13-3
1 Tulsa 21-13 13-3
5 Texas-El Paso 23-11 12-4
6 Old Dominion 18-18 9-7
7 Tulane 17-17 8-8
8 UAB 18-13 7-9
8 Charlotte 17-14 7-9
8 FIU 15-16 7-9
11 North Texas 16-16 6-10
12 East Carolina 17-17 5-11
12 FAU 10-22 5-11
14 Marshall 11-22 4-12
14 UTSA 8-22 4-12
16 Rice 7-23 2-14
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

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