StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Middle Tennessee State to be an 11 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Blue Raiders are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, but they won't need to win their conference tournament as they're unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #33 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 21-4 overall record and a 13-1 record in the Sun Belt.
Over the last four games, Middle Tennessee State looked strong with wins against Arkansas State, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, and Western Kentucky.
Middle Tennessee State has a 2-3 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-2 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Blue Raiders have a single quality win against RPI #50 Ole Miss, they're also dinged with a bad loss to RPI #183 Arkansas State.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Stanford (14-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #62), Florida State (13-9, 5-4 ACC, StatRank #59), Southern Miss (18-5, 7-1 C-USA, StatRank #43), and Wichita State (19-5, 8-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #37).
The first four teams out are California (13-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #76), Rutgers (12-9, 3-7 Big East, StatRank #72), Saint Mary's (20-4, 9-1 West Coast, StatRank #47), and Virginia Commonwealth (18-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #48).
The next four out are Brigham Young (18-7, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #47), Saint Louis (17-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #58), Texas A&M (14-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #74), and Villanova (14-9, 5-5 Big East, StatRank #67).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference